Preseason Rankings
Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.8#206
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.7#310
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#291
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#126
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.5% 13.4% 7.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 15.2
.500 or above 63.4% 76.8% 51.3%
.500 or above in Conference 76.7% 83.4% 70.7%
Conference Champion 11.2% 15.0% 7.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.3% 3.1%
First Four2.2% 1.8% 2.5%
First Round9.5% 12.5% 6.8%
Second Round0.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Gulf Coast (Away) - 47.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 43 - 8
Quad 413 - 516 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 257   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 65-66 47%    
  Nov 19, 2019 20   @ LSU L 61-80 4%    
  Nov 22, 2019 222   Eastern Michigan W 61-60 51%    
  Nov 24, 2019 309   Nicholls St. W 71-65 69%    
  Nov 30, 2019 254   Drexel W 72-67 68%    
  Dec 03, 2019 184   @ American L 63-67 37%    
  Dec 07, 2019 248   St. Francis (PA) W 71-66 67%    
  Dec 10, 2019 181   @ Towson L 61-65 36%    
  Dec 15, 2019 348   Coppin St. W 75-60 90%    
  Dec 17, 2019 54   @ Georgetown L 65-80 9%    
  Dec 21, 2019 151   @ George Mason L 64-70 29%    
  Jan 04, 2020 263   Umass Lowell W 75-69 70%    
  Jan 08, 2020 339   @ Binghamton W 67-60 72%    
  Jan 11, 2020 84   Vermont L 60-66 31%    
  Jan 18, 2020 334   @ New Hampshire W 64-58 68%    
  Jan 22, 2020 321   @ Hartford W 68-64 64%    
  Jan 25, 2020 333   Maine W 68-56 83%    
  Jan 29, 2020 178   Albany W 66-64 55%    
  Feb 01, 2020 196   @ Stony Brook L 64-68 39%    
  Feb 05, 2020 321   Hartford W 71-61 80%    
  Feb 08, 2020 263   @ Umass Lowell L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 15, 2020 334   New Hampshire W 67-55 83%    
  Feb 20, 2020 178   @ Albany L 63-67 36%    
  Feb 22, 2020 84   @ Vermont L 57-69 17%    
  Feb 26, 2020 339   Binghamton W 70-57 85%    
  Feb 29, 2020 333   @ Maine W 65-59 68%    
  Mar 03, 2020 196   Stony Brook W 67-65 58%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.2 3.6 1.9 0.5 11.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 5.5 7.5 4.3 1.0 20.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.8 7.5 6.6 2.1 0.2 20.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.6 6.5 4.5 0.8 0.0 17.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.6 4.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.5 2.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 3.9 6.4 9.1 10.9 12.5 14.2 13.3 11.1 7.7 4.6 1.9 0.5 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
15-1 100.0% 1.9    1.7 0.2
14-2 78.2% 3.6    2.3 1.3 0.0
13-3 42.0% 3.2    1.4 1.6 0.2 0.0
12-4 13.9% 1.5    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0
11-5 2.7% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 11.2% 11.2 6.3 3.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.5% 54.1% 51.2% 2.9% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.0%
15-1 1.9% 42.9% 42.5% 0.4% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 0.7%
14-2 4.6% 31.8% 31.6% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 3.2 0.2%
13-3 7.7% 24.0% 24.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 5.8
12-4 11.1% 17.3% 17.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 9.2
11-5 13.3% 13.1% 13.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 11.5
10-6 14.2% 7.9% 7.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 13.1
9-7 12.5% 4.9% 4.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.9
8-8 10.9% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 10.6
7-9 9.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 8.9
6-10 6.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.3
5-11 3.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.9
4-12 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-13 1.0% 1.0
2-14 0.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.5% 10.5% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 2.9 4.0 89.5 0.0%